SPEED RATINGS PROGRAM
The Simple Software computer programme is an analysis tool that produces
speed rating for horses. These rating can be used to identify "fast" horses
quite often at good prices.
The origin of the programme is a set of complex mathematical formulae
first published in David Towey's 1993 book "The Solidus".
There was a problem with the original formulae. Most users found the heavy
mathematics required to operate them too laborious and time consuming.
Good news however in that computer power now over comes this
problem. The hundreds of calculations used to compile daily speed ratings can be done with
little more than the click of a mouse.
Mick Johnston who runs Simple Software explained that the basis of the
program is to try and look at the previous form of horses from an even view point.
Each course in the UK has it's own characteristics.The program looks at
past performances and applies factors to account for the course at which the time recorded
Further analysis is carried out for distance, going weight carried and
handicap mark. The aim being to account for the effects of all these variables so that
horses can be compared on a like for like basis.
The database behind the software contains all the previous results for the
UK courses since 1994.
To assess a future race information about the runners is required to be
input. The new weight carried etc. The program then generates a set off speed figures
which theoretically should predict the outcome of the race.
Once you have the program it is possible to manually update results
and enter details of the various days runners. Several users who concentrate on
particular race types do just that.
The majority of users however take advantage of email updates. These
contain a file with details of the latest results and the runners declared for
the coming day. A couple of clicks of a mouse and you can have your database updated and
your speed figures generated the evening before racing.
The charge for daily email updates is a very reasonable £9.99 per month.
A lot cheaper than buying the Racing Post each day.
The big question of course is do the ratings produce a profit?
Mick Johnston tells me that simply backing every top rated selection will
produce a long term profit. However most users will obviously not back a horse in every
race of the day.
To reduce the number of bets and increase profitability it may make sense
to perhaps only back selections where there is a very clear advantage indicated.
A users forum is operational on the net. Here users of the speed rating
software can discus different ways and systems to make most profitable use of the speed
figures generated. When I popped in there was a posting from one happy member telling
others of how he was achieving a strike rate of 50% and average odds of 9/4. This if
repeatable is pretty good in my book.
The programme will produce ratings for the whole days card highlighting
any horses that are rated significantly above others in the same race. The majority of
members base their betting decisions around these figures.
However there are also features for advanced users which allow queries to
be run on the past database of results. The idea being to identify profitable patterns.
The advanced features are a little complex to master and require a knowledge of the SQL
programming language to fully exploit them.
Within the users forum however there appear to be a few SQL experts who
might be willing to lend a hand. Personally I would like to see a future update with a
more user friendly interface to the advanced query features.
That said I do not want to take away from what is there at present. A very
useful analysis tool which can be used to give you the edge required to make profits.
Pretty dangerous in the right hands.
The best thing about this software is that it is available FREE.
for you to try out and judge for your self. A full working copy of the software
including the results database will be sent to you by post on CD ROM. Due to the
vast amount of information contained in the database downloading is not feasible.
As a special bonus if you apply through
Racing-Systems, you will receive two weeks of email data updates for free.
This will give you plenty of time to fully examine the software and judge it for
your self over two weeks racing .
To receive your free copy so that you can start generating your own
ratings simply enter you details below and press "Send". Take care entering your
email address to ensure that the free data updates arrive in the right hands.